Tomorrow afternoon – when the polls have not yet closed and the exit polls are all we have to talk about - let’s not forget that the 2004 exit polls had everyone predicting an easy Kerry win.
Exit polling is not scientific. Someone stands outside the poll place and asks voters, “Will you tell me who you voted for?” People can answer or take a pass.
Historically, exit polls do tend to skew Democratic. I’ve heard various theories as to why: some say it’s the bias of the exit pollers; some say conservatives/Republicans tend to be more private so don’t share personal information as easily.
